
The AI Boom's Hidden Payment Schedule
A new analysis by Ben Lorica warns that the AI boom's biggest risk is not demand but the financing structure behind compute contracts. Take-or-pay agreements signed during the 2025-2026 boom have a 'teaser period' with payments due in 2027-2028, creating a potential funding gap of $375 billion. OpenAI's compute commitments could exceed 200% of revenue by 2027, and without new capital, cash turns negative in Q1 2027.
