Trade Signal

Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Signals for AI agents. Transform complex market intelligence into clear, executable Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations on global stocks and other public securities. Trade-signal gives specific price targets on any given securities, real-time data and institution-grade trade thesis. Trade-signal is forward looking but also capable of technical and fundamental analysis on current/historical price actions, with a qualitative and quantitiave explanation as to why a certain securities (stock) price moved the way it did.

Quick Start

# Get trade signal for a stock
./scripts/search.sh "Should I buy NVDA?"

# Get signal with full analysis
./scripts/search.sh "Is AAPL a sell at current levels?"

# Check multiple tickers
./scripts/search.sh "AAPL NVDA TSLA MSFT"

# Earnings play analysis
./scripts/search.sh "What's the best trade ahead of NVDA's upcoming earnings? Give me specific options strategy with prices."

Base URL: https://app.terminal-x.ai/api

---

Features

📊 Trade Signals Capabilities

Query Type	Examples
Trade Decisions	Buy/sell/hold calls, entry/exit timing, position sizing
Earnings Plays	Pre-earnings positioning, post-earnings reactions, historical patterns
Price Catalysts	What's moving the stock, macro events, technical triggers
Analyst Actions	Upgrades, downgrades, price target changes, investment thesis
Technical Analysis	Support/resistance, volatility, momentum indicators
Risk Assessment	Stop loss levels, downside scenarios, risk/reward analysis

Each response includes:

• Signal: Clear BUY / SELL / HOLD / AVOID recommendation with time horizon (T+1, T+5, etc.)
• Technicals: Entry, exit, stop loss, and support/resistance zones
• Answer: Macro, technical, and sentiment factors driving the trade thesis
• Tickers: Primary symbol plus related ETFs and correlated instruments
• Sources: Numbered citations [1], [2], [3] linking to Wall Street research, SEC filings, and market data

📈 Market Coverage

37,565 Global Tickers + 6,104 ETFs across all major exchanges:

Region	Tickers	ETFs
US (incl. ADRs)	7,301	4,979
Western Europe	11,123	—
Canada	4,690	—
Japan	3,873	200
Korea	3,856	500
Hong Kong	2,638	176
Shanghai	2,315	—
Taiwan	1,072	200
Singapore	565	49
Other	132	—

Asset Classes: Global Equities, ETFs, Global macro, FX, commodities, crypto content available.

🔬 Data Sources

• Wall Street Research — Analyst reports, investment thesis from Goldman, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Citi, UBS, Bank of America, Stifel, etc.
• Analyst Actions — Upgrades, downgrades, initiations, PT changes
• SEC Filings — 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, insider transactions, 13F holdings, 13D, 13G, DEF14A, and everything filed on EDGAR
• Call Transcripts — Live transcripts from earnings calls, M&A calls, management discussions, Conference calls, Investor Day calls, etc.
• Real-Time News — Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, FT, WSJ
• Company Filings — Company Press Release, earnings materials, company presentations, Investor day materials, guidance updates, Company Financials and Supplements

---

Response Format

Running the script returns JSON:

{
  "query": "Should I buy NVDA before earnings?",
  "tickers": ["NVDA", "AMD", "GOOGL"],
  "tradeSignal": "HOLD",
  "priceTarget": {
    "entry": null,
    "exit": "$185-190",
    "stopLoss": "$175",
    "timeHorizon": "T+1 to T+3"
  },
  "agentAnswer": "**Hold current position: Sell at $185-190 on any post-earnings bounce within T+1 to T+3.**
  NVDA closed at $181.36 and trades at $180.88 after hours. Despite consistent earnings beats since August 2024, 
  the stock has exhibited a persistent sell-the-fact pattern, declining in 4 of the last 5 post-earnings sessions. [1]
  
  Options markets price a 6.68% implied move ($12.13 swing) for the November 19 after-hours release. [2]",
  "sources": [
    {
      "refId": 1,
      "sourceTitle": "Nvidia Earnings Have Become a Consistent Sell-the-Fact Event",
      "sourceName": ["Bloomberg"],
      "datePublished": "2024-11-18T14:30:42Z"
    },
    {
      "refId": 2,
      "sourceTitle": "NVDA Options Implied Move Analysis",
      "sourceName": ["Goldman Sachs"],
      "datePublished": "2024-11-19T09:00:00Z"
    }
  ],
  "technicals": {
    "rsi": 62.4,
    "macd": "bullish crossover",
    "support": "$175",
    "resistance": "$190",
    "trend": "neutral"
  },
  "relatedAnalysis": [
    "AMD earnings correlation",
    "Semiconductor sector momentum"
  ]
}

Field	Description
query	Your original question
tickers	Relevant stock tickers
tradeSignal	BUY, SELL, or HOLD recommendation
priceTarget	Entry, exit, stop loss, time horizon
agentAnswer	AI analysis with citation references [1], [2]
sources	Citations with title, source name, date
technicals	RSI, MACD, support/resistance, trend
relatedAnalysis	Related research topics

---

Sample Output

Example 1: Catalyst Analysis with Trade Decision

Query: ./scripts/search.sh "What's driving the fall in silver prices? Identify all the catalysts and make a trade decision for tomorrow."

📊 **Silver Price Decline: Catalyst Analysis**

**Signal: AVOID** | Time Horizon: T+1
Related: SLV (-28.54%), SI (-0.77%), XAGUSD (+2.58%)

Silver has entered bear market territory after falling nearly 22% from its
recent record high, driven by a confluence of macro and technical factors. [1][2]

**Macro Catalysts:**
- President Trump's announcement of Kevin Warsh as Fed pick eased concerns
  about Fed independence, triggering a sharp dollar rally [7][10]
- Repricing underway with assumption that smaller Fed balance sheet would
  tighten financial conditions [8]
- Declining capital leakage from China — more capital returning to China,
  affecting precious metals where sentiment is currently driving prices [7][9]

**Technical Catalysts:**
- Parabolic run with 14% intraday surge showed clear blowoff top pattern [1][9]
- One-month volatility surged above 96%, steepest level in nearly 25 years [7][10][12]
- Inverted volatility curve signals traders anticipate further unwinding [7][10][12]
- CME raised margin requirements to 11% from 9% — familiar late-cycle signal
  that speculative excess is being wrung out [5][8][13]

**Valuation:**
Current price ($86.62) trades significantly above 200-day MA of $48/oz,
indicating deeply overbought conditions. Analysts estimate fair value
around $60/oz. JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic suggests silver should trade
at half its current price later in 2026. [14][16][18][20][21][22][23]

**Trade Decision:**
Avoid purchasing silver for tomorrow. Market likely to continue unwinding
speculative positions. Wait for stabilization at $75-$80 support zone
before considering new long positions. [3][11]

**Sources:**
[1] Bloomberg News: Silver Bear Market Entry 
[2] Goldman Sachs Precious Metals Weekly Report
[7] Bloomberg Terminal — Silver Volatility Analysis
[10] Reuters — Fed Policy Impact on Dollar
[16] JPMorgan Research Note — Precious Metals Outlook
[21] CME Group — Margin Requirement Update

Example 2: Price Target with Hold Recommendation

Query: ./scripts/search.sh "Give me a clear buy/sell/hold call and an optimal target price for T+5."

📊 **Silver Trade Signal: 5-Day Outlook**

**Signal: HOLD** | Target Range: $80-$90 | Time Horizon: T+5

Silver has experienced extreme volatility with current price at $86.31,
following intraday high of $88.00 and low of $77.00 today. [1]

**Technical Summary:**
- 1-Month Volatility: >96% (extreme)
- Volatility Curve: Steeply inverted — traders anticipate further unwinding [5]
- Gold/Silver Ratio: Below 50 (stretched outperformance vs gold) [7][17]
- Support: $83-$85 (larger retracement) | Resistance: $93.50-$96.00 [9]

**Historical Pattern:**
In six prior instances since 1970 where silver doubled in 40 days and rose
over 10% in a single day, prices were lower 20 days later. This suggests
caution, but immediate sustained crashes are not guaranteed. [16]

**Bullish Factors (Long-term):**
- Structural supply deficit from solar, EVs, and data centers [7][3]
- Physical demand from China and India remains strong [1][5][8]
- Shanghai silver futures trading at premium to global spot [1][5][8]

**Bearish Factors (Short-term):**
- CME margin hike to 11% forcing speculative liquidation [10]
- Risk-reward completely skewed at current levels [14][11]
- "Meme trader" phenomenon contributing to volatility [9]

**Trade Decision:**
HOLD for next 5 trading days. Consolidation phase likely after correction
from peak near $120.60. Target $80-$90 reflects stabilization period with
potential for minor upward corrections within volatile environment.

**Sources:**
[1] Silver Spot Market Data — February 1, 2026
[5] CME Group — Volatility Curve Analysis
[7] Bloomberg — Gold/Silver Ratio Report
[9] Reuters — Silver Market Dynamics
[14] Bank of America — Precious Metals Valuation
[16] Historical Precious Metals Database — Pattern Analysis

Example 3: Analyst Coverage

Query: ./scripts/search.sh "What are analysts saying about NVIDIA?"

📊 **NVIDIA Analyst Sentiment**

Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on NVIDIA with 45 Buy ratings,
3 Hold, and 0 Sell. Average price target: $950 (18% upside). [1]

**Recent Actions:**
- Goldman Sachs: Reiterated Buy, PT $1,000 — "AI infrastructure spend
  remains in early innings" [2]
- Morgan Stanley: Overweight, PT $950 — Raised estimates on Blackwell
  demand visibility [3]
- Bank of America: Buy, PT $925 — "Data center TAM expansion continues
  to exceed expectations" [1]

Key debate centers on sustainability of 70%+ gross margins as competition
from AMD MI300X intensifies in 2025. [3]

**Sources:**
[1] Bloomberg Analyst Consensus Data - January 2025
[2] Goldman Sachs NVDA Initiation Report - January 15, 2025
[3] Morgan Stanley Semiconductor Research Note - January 12, 2025

---

Integration

With AI Agents

The agent will automatically use this skill when asked:

• "Should I buy NVDA?"
• "What's your call on AAPL?"
• "Sell or hold TSLA?"
• "Give me a trade signal for META"
• "Is now a good entry for AMD?"
• "Analyze GOOGL before earnings"
• "What are analysts saying about MSFT?"
• "Best tech stocks to buy right now"

Example Agent Flow

1. User: "How is NVIDIA doing?"
2. Agent: [calls search.sh "NVIDIA financial performance and outlook"]
3. Agent: "NVIDIA reported record Q3 revenue of $35.1B, up 94% YoY.
   Data center segment drove growth at $30.8B. Analysts maintain
   Buy ratings with average PT of $950. Key catalyst: Blackwell
   architecture ramp in Q1 2025."
4. User: "What about their margins?"
5. Agent: [calls search.sh "NVIDIA gross margin and profitability"]
6. Agent: "Gross margin was 75% in Q3, up from 70% YoY. Management
   expects margins to moderate to 73-74% as Blackwell ramps due to
   initial yield curves, per CFO commentary on earnings call."

Combining with Other Skills

# Get financial data then execute trade
./scripts/search.sh "AAPL earnings analysis" && trade-signal query "Should I buy AAPL?"

# Research before news check
./scripts/search.sh "Tesla delivery numbers" && finance-news news TSLA

---

Tips for Better Results

Do This	Not This
"NVIDIA data center revenue Q4 2024"	"NVIDIA revenue"
"AAPL gross margin vs MSFT"	"Apple margins"
"What did Jensen Huang say about AI demand"	"NVDA CEO comments"
"Tesla deliveries Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023"	"Tesla cars"

Best Practices:

• Be specific — Include timeframes, metrics, and company names
• Use ticker symbols — "AAPL" is clearer than "Apple"
• Ask direct questions — "What is..." or "How much..." get precise answers
• Include context — "last quarter", "FY 2024", "year-over-year"

---

Error Handling

{
  "code": 400,
  "message": "Missing or invalid query parameter"
}

Error Code	Meaning	Resolution
400	Missing query	Include ?query= parameter
500	Server error	Retry request

---

Support

• Homepage: https://terminal-x.ai
• Email: hello@terminal-x.ai