Decision-making Skills for OpenClaw Agents

founder-playbook-web3

@tenequm

Decision validation and thinking frameworks for startup founders. Use when you need to pressure-test a decision, validate your next steps, think through strategic options, or sanity-check your approach. Triggers on phrases like "should I", "help me think through", "is this the right move", "validate my thinking", "what am I missing". Covers fundraising, customer development, runway management, prioritization, and crypto/web3 founder challenges.

Status Quo Bias

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we've always done it this way', 'changing now would be too disruptive', or 'no one is complaining so why change'; a team is slow to...

Timing-Action Matrix

@deciqai

Activate when: a major decision is imminent and the team hasn't explicitly checked whether NOW is the right time; a correct strategy keeps hitting unexpected...

Sunk-Cost Fallacy

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we've come too far to quit', 'we can't waste what we've already spent', 'should I keep going or cut my losses', 'we've invested too...

Real Estate — Pricing & Price-Reduction Decision

@deciqai

Activate when: a listing isn't selling and the agent must decide list price or a price reduction; 'should we drop the price', 'how much and when', days-on-ma...

Bootstrapping vs Raising — Choose the Fuel to Match the Fire

@deciqai

Activate when: a founder is deciding whether to raise venture money or self-fund; 'should we raise?', weighing dilution vs speed, choosing a funding path; VC...

Utilitarianism

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'what produces the most good,' 'who benefits and who gets hurt,' 'what's the net impact,' 'is this worth the trade-off,' 'what does...

Dual-System Thinking (System 1 / System 2)

@deciqai

Activate when: a decision feels obvious but the stakes are high; someone says 'I just trust my gut' on a consequential call; a team is converging fast withou...

Inversion

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'do a pre-mortem', 'what could go wrong', 'why might this fail', 'invert the question', 'what would have to be true for this to be a...

Second-Order Thinking

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'and then what?', 'what are the second-order effects?', 'what could go wrong downstream?', 'what happens once everyone does this?',...

Authority Bias

@deciqai

Detect and mitigate undue influence from positional authority when expertise on the specific question is unverified or reasoning lacks independent support.

Voltage Effect

@deciqai

Diagnoses whether a result that worked at small scale will keep working when scaled — by testing an idea against John List's five reasons ideas lose 'voltage...

Cynefin

@deciqai

Activate when: 'our best practices keep failing', 'experts disagree on the right answer', 'the old playbook isn't working', 'we're in crisis and don't know w...

Chesterton's Fence

@deciqai

Activate when: someone says 'let's just remove this', 'why do we still have this rule?', 'this seems useless/outdated', 'nobody knows why this is here', new...

Decision Tree

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'help me choose between two options with different risks', 'I need to map out what could happen if we go with X', 'we have a sequent...

Latticework

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'I don't know which framework to use', 'our analysis keeps missing something', 'we need a second opinion on our model', 'how do we s...

Circle of Competence

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'should I enter this market / make this hire / invest in this domain,' 'am I qualified to evaluate this,' 'stay in your lane,' 'stic...

Probabilistic Thinking

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'what are the odds,' 'base rate,' 'Bayesian update,' 'calibration,' or 'what's the probability'; user is making a forecast or estima...

Lindy Effect

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'should we use this old technology or switch to something newer', 'how do I know if a book is worth reading', 'this institution has...

OODA Loop

@deciqai

Activate when: competitor outmaneuvers you despite worse resources; decisions take longer than the situation allows; team is losing a competition they should...

Expected Value and the Kelly Criterion

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'how much should I bet/invest on this?', 'what's the expected value here?', 'Kelly criterion', 'optimal bet size', 'fractional Kelly...

Change and Constants Framework

@deciqai

Activate when: 'we keep debating whether to pivot or stay the course', 'I don't know what we should never change', 'is this signal or noise?', 'the market sh...

The Middle Way (中庸 Zhongyong)

@deciqai

Activate when: a decision is framed as 'X or not-X' but is really a spectrum; someone says 'we have to choose between A and B' and both seem to have problems...

Regret Minimization

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'what would my 80-year-old self think', 'if I never try this will I regret it', 'I keep hesitating but the math is clear', 'regret m...

Confirmation Bias

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we keep finding evidence that supports our view,' 'the team is all aligned on this,' 'I've done the research and it checks out,' or...

10-10-10

@deciqai

Activate when: someone is making a decision under emotional pressure and worries they'll regret it later; someone says "I know I should do X but it feels too...

Opportunity Cost

@deciqai

Activate when: user says "what could we have done instead," "what's the next-best alternative," "is this worth the cost," "what are we giving up by choosing...

Availability Heuristic

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we keep hearing about X so it must be common', 'that just happened so it's risky', 'the news is full of stories about this', 'I've...

evidence-first

@raguets

Part of the Overpowered skill suite. Require evidence proportional to material claims and clearly separate evidence, inference, and uncertainty. Use for research, analysis, recommendations, reports, audits, or decisions where unsupported confidence would be harmful; do not use for purely creative or stylistic tasks.

know-enough

@raguets

Part of the Overpowered skill suite. Acquire the minimum sufficient knowledge needed to make the next material decision: identify knowledge gaps, choose the right authoritative or contextual sources, retrieve selectively, assess sufficiency, and stop when more retrieval is unlikely to change the outcome. Use when organization-specific, historical, current, or otherwise missing knowledge could materially affect the task and retrieval/RAG/search tools are available.

见势成策

@jieshu666

把行业趋势、证据和经济测算转化为可执行的深度报告与行动方案

Six Thinking Hats

@deciqai

Activate when: a meeting keeps going in circles, people have different agendas, someone says 'we need structure' or 'let's look at this from all angles,' a p...

Premortem

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'let's check what could go wrong before we commit', 'I want to stress-test this plan', 'we're about to launch and I'm worried we're...

Bayesian Reasoning

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'Bayesian', 'prior', 'posterior', 'base rate', 'likelihood ratio', or 'update my belief'; someone treats 'the evidence is consistent...