Decision-making Skills for OpenClaw Agents

grill-me

@tenequm

Interview the user relentlessly about a plan or design until reaching shared understanding, resolving each branch of the decision tree. Use when user wants to stress-test a plan, get grilled on their design, or mentions "grill me".

solo-os

@xiaoba-dev

Expert-roundtable decision framework: the AI convenes a panel of experts with conflicting stances who cross-examine one issue from several angles and shape it into 2–3 candidate options, one recommendation, and the evidence each candidate still lacks. The vote shows where the experts lean, not a verdict; the human confirms before anything lands. Includes four tables (role / blind / human / contrarian) drawing on four sources of cognitive diversity, a three-dimension role-generation spec, a "will forgetting this hurt tomorrow?" persistence gate, an optional outside seat (a blind answer from another vendor's model), and a four-layer knowledge-immunity model. For solo developers and small teams making architecture, priority, and trade-off decisions. Invoke explicitly.

know-enough

@raguets

Part of the Overpowered skill suite. Acquire the minimum sufficient knowledge needed to make the next material decision: identify knowledge gaps, choose the right authoritative or contextual sources, retrieve selectively, assess sufficiency, and stop when more retrieval is unlikely to change the outcome. Use when organization-specific, historical, current, or otherwise missing knowledge could materially affect the task and retrieval/RAG/search tools are available.

founder-playbook-web3

@tenequm

Decision validation and thinking frameworks for founders. Use to pressure-test a decision, validate next steps, or sanity-check an approach - "should I", "help me think through", "what am I missing". Covers fundraising, customers, runway.

Dual-System Thinking (System 1 / System 2)

@deciqai

Activate when: a decision feels obvious but the stakes are high; someone says 'I just trust my gut' on a consequential call; a team is converging fast withou...

Second-Order Thinking

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'and then what?', 'what are the second-order effects?', 'what could go wrong downstream?', 'what happens once everyone does this?',...

10-10-10

@deciqai

Activate when: someone is making a decision under emotional pressure and worries they'll regret it later; someone says "I know I should do X but it feels too...

Probabilistic Thinking

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'what are the odds,' 'base rate,' 'Bayesian update,' 'calibration,' or 'what's the probability'; user is making a forecast or estima...

OODA Loop

@deciqai

Activate when: competitor outmaneuvers you despite worse resources; decisions take longer than the situation allows; team is losing a competition they should...

Cynefin

@deciqai

Activate when: 'our best practices keep failing', 'experts disagree on the right answer', 'the old playbook isn't working', 'we're in crisis and don't know w...

Six Thinking Hats

@deciqai

Activate when: a meeting keeps going in circles, people have different agendas, someone says 'we need structure' or 'let's look at this from all angles,' a p...

Inversion

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'do a pre-mortem', 'what could go wrong', 'why might this fail', 'invert the question', 'what would have to be true for this to be a...

Authority Bias

@deciqai

Detect and mitigate undue influence from positional authority when expertise on the specific question is unverified or reasoning lacks independent support.

Premortem

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'let's check what could go wrong before we commit', 'I want to stress-test this plan', 'we're about to launch and I'm worried we're...

Bayesian Reasoning

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'Bayesian', 'prior', 'posterior', 'base rate', 'likelihood ratio', or 'update my belief'; someone treats 'the evidence is consistent...

Latticework

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'I don't know which framework to use', 'our analysis keeps missing something', 'we need a second opinion on our model', 'how do we s...

Lindy Effect

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'should we use this old technology or switch to something newer', 'how do I know if a book is worth reading', 'this institution has...

Chesterton's Fence

@deciqai

Activate when: someone says 'let's just remove this', 'why do we still have this rule?', 'this seems useless/outdated', 'nobody knows why this is here', new...

Circle of Competence

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'should I enter this market / make this hire / invest in this domain,' 'am I qualified to evaluate this,' 'stay in your lane,' 'stic...

Decision Tree

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'help me choose between two options with different risks', 'I need to map out what could happen if we go with X', 'we have a sequent...

Regret Minimization

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'what would my 80-year-old self think', 'if I never try this will I regret it', 'I keep hesitating but the math is clear', 'regret m...

Expected Value and the Kelly Criterion

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'how much should I bet/invest on this?', 'what's the expected value here?', 'Kelly criterion', 'optimal bet size', 'fractional Kelly...

Confirmation Bias

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we keep finding evidence that supports our view,' 'the team is all aligned on this,' 'I've done the research and it checks out,' or...

The Middle Way (中庸 Zhongyong)

@deciqai

Activate when: a decision is framed as 'X or not-X' but is really a spectrum; someone says 'we have to choose between A and B' and both seem to have problems...

Opportunity Cost

@deciqai

Activate when: user says "what could we have done instead," "what's the next-best alternative," "is this worth the cost," "what are we giving up by choosing...

Availability Heuristic

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we keep hearing about X so it must be common', 'that just happened so it's risky', 'the news is full of stories about this', 'I've...

Timing-Action Matrix

@deciqai

Activate when: a major decision is imminent and the team hasn't explicitly checked whether NOW is the right time; a correct strategy keeps hitting unexpected...

Change and Constants Framework

@deciqai

Activate when: 'we keep debating whether to pivot or stay the course', 'I don't know what we should never change', 'is this signal or noise?', 'the market sh...

evidence-first

@raguets

Part of the Overpowered skill suite. Require evidence proportional to material claims and clearly separate evidence, inference, and uncertainty. Use for research, analysis, recommendations, reports, audits, or decisions where unsupported confidence would be harmful; do not use for purely creative or stylistic tasks.

Status Quo Bias

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we've always done it this way', 'changing now would be too disruptive', or 'no one is complaining so why change'; a team is slow to...

Sunk-Cost Fallacy

@deciqai

Activate when: user says 'we've come too far to quit', 'we can't waste what we've already spent', 'should I keep going or cut my losses', 'we've invested too...

Utilitarianism

@deciqai

Activate when: user asks 'what produces the most good,' 'who benefits and who gets hurt,' 'what's the net impact,' 'is this worth the trade-off,' 'what does...

Voltage Effect

@deciqai

Diagnoses whether a result that worked at small scale will keep working when scaled — by testing an idea against John List's five reasons ideas lose 'voltage...

Bootstrapping vs Raising — Choose the Fuel to Match the Fire

@deciqai

Activate when: a founder is deciding whether to raise venture money or self-fund; 'should we raise?', weighing dilution vs speed, choosing a funding path; VC...

Real Estate — Pricing & Price-Reduction Decision

@deciqai

Activate when: a listing isn't selling and the agent must decide list price or a price reduction; 'should we drop the price', 'how much and when', days-on-ma...

xjev · Agent 决策

@cutd

Jev 决策、贡献回执、自然语言纠正与个性化请求迭代

姜胡说思维教练（赚钱·自媒体·决策）

@simonsxxs

姜胡说（姜志辉）的思维框架与表达方式：7个核心心智模型、10条决策启发式与完整表达DNA。 用途：作为思维顾问，用姜胡说的视角分析问题、审视决策、提供反馈。 当用户提到「用姜胡说的视角」「姜胡说会怎么看」「胡子哥模式」时使用；「帮我用姜胡说的角度想想」「如果姜胡说会怎么做」「切换到胡子哥」也应触发；英文表达如 "jianghushuo perspective"、"what would Jiang Hushuo say/think" 同样触发。 不在一般性问题上自动触发。用户要求评价、比较或分析姜胡说本人及其观点（第三人称讨论）时不进入角色扮演，正常作答即可。

见势成策

@jieshu666

把行业趋势、证据和经济测算转化为可执行的深度报告与行动方案